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1.
researchsquare; 2023.
Preprint in English | PREPRINT-RESEARCHSQUARE | ID: ppzbmed-10.21203.rs.3.rs-2912362.v1

ABSTRACT

Background: Findings from studies assessing Long Covid in children and young people (CYP) need to be viewed in light of their methodological limitations. For example, if non-response and/or attrition over time systematically differ by sub-groups of CYP, findings could be biased and generalisation limited. The present study aimed to (i) construct survey weights for the Children and young people with Long Covid (CLoCk) study, and (ii) apply them to published CLoCk findings showing the prevalence of shortness of breath and tiredness increased over time from baseline to 12-months post-baseline in both SARS-CoV-2 Positive and Negative CYP. Methods: Logistic regression was used to compute the probability of (i) Responding given envisioned to take part, (ii) Responding timely given responded, and (iii) (Re)infection given timely response. Response, timely response and (re)infection weights were generated as the reciprocal of the corresponding probability, with an overall ‘envisioned population’ survey weight derived as the product of these weights. Survey weights were trimmed, and an interactive tool developed to re-calibrate target population survey weights to the general population using data from the 2021 UK Census. Results: Flexible survey weights for the CLoCk study were successfully developed. In the illustrative example re-weighted results (when accounting for selection in response, attrition, and (re)infection) were consistent with published findings. Conclusions: Flexible survey weights to address potential bias and selection issues were created for and used in the CLoCk study. Previously reported prospective findings from CLoCk are generalisable to the wider population of CYP in England. This study highlights the importance of considering selection into a sample and attrition over time when considering generalisability of findings.


Subject(s)
Dyspnea , Weight Loss , Headache Disorders, Primary
2.
researchsquare; 2022.
Preprint in English | PREPRINT-RESEARCHSQUARE | ID: ppzbmed-10.21203.rs.3.rs-1646307.v1

ABSTRACT

Background: In England, the emergence the more transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variant Alpha (B.1.1.7) led to a third national lockdown from December 2020, including restricted attendance at schools. Nurseries, however, remained fully open. COVID-19 outbreaks (≥ 2 laboratory-confirmed cases within 14 days) in nurseries and assess the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and incidence rates in staff and children over a three-month period when community SARS-CoV-2 infections rates were high and the Alpha variant was spreading rapidly across England. Methods This was a cross-sectional national investigation of COVID-19 outbreaks in nurseries across England Nurseries reporting a COVID-19 outbreak to PHE between November 2020 and January 2021 were requested to complete a questionnaire about their outbreak. Results 324 nurseries, comprising 1% (324/32,852) of nurseries in England, reported a COVID-19 outbreak. Of the 315 (97%) nurseries contacted, 173 (55%) reported 1,657 SARS-CoV-2 cases, including 510 (31%) children and 1,147 (69%) staff. A child was the index case in 45 outbreaks (26%) and staff in 125 (72%) outbreaks. Overall, children had an incidence rate of 3.50% (95%CI, 3.21–3.81%) and was similar irrespective of whether the index case was a child (3.55%; 95%CI, 3.01–4.19%) or staff (3.44%; 95%CI, 3.10–3.82%). Among staff, incidence rates were lower if the index case was a child (26.28%; 95%CI, 23.54–29.21%%) compared to a staff member (32.98%; 95%CI, 31.19–34.82%), with the highest incidence rate when the index case was also a staff member (37.52%; 95%CI, 35.39–39.70%). Compared to November 2020, outbreak sizes and incidence rates were higher in January 2021, when the Alpha variant predominated. Nationally, SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in


Subject(s)
COVID-19
3.
medrxiv; 2021.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2021.12.10.21267408

ABSTRACT

Adolescents in the UK were recommended to have their first dose of mRNA vaccine during a period of high community transmission due to the highly transmissible Delta variant, followed by a second dose at an extended interval of 8-12 weeks. We used national SARS-CoV-2 testing, vaccination and hospitalisation data to estimate vaccine effectiveness (VE) using a test-negative case-control design, against PCR-confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 in England. VE against symptomatic disease increased to 80% within two weeks of the first dose of BNT162b2 vaccine (higher than in adults aged 18-64 years) and then declines rapidly to 40% within 8 weeks (similar to adults). Early data in 16-17-year-olds also indicate high protection against hospitalisation and a rapid increase in VE against symptomatic COVID-19 after the second dose. Our data highlight the importance of the second vaccine dose for protection against symptomatic COVID-19 and raise important questions about the objectives of an adolescent immunisation programme. If prevention of infection is the primary aim, then regular COVID-19 vaccine boosters will be required.


Subject(s)
COVID-19
4.
ssrn; 2021.
Preprint in English | PREPRINT-SSRN | ID: ppzbmed-10.2139.ssrn.3880967

ABSTRACT

Adults receiving heterologous prime-boost COVID-19 immunisation schedules with mRNA (Pfizer-BioNTech) or adenoviral-vector (ChAdOx1-S/nCOV-19) vaccines had higher reactogenicity rates and were more likely to seek medical attention after their second dose than homologous schedules. Reactogenicity rates were generally higher among ≤50 than >50 year-olds and in adults with prior symptomatic or confirmed COVID-19. Adults receiving heterologous schedules because of severe first-dose reactions had lower reactogenicity after the second dose following ChAdOx1-S/Pfizer-BioNTech (93.4%[90.5-98.1] vs. 48%[41.0-57.7]) but not Pfizer-BioNTech/ChAdOx1-S (91.7%[77.5-98.2] vs. 75.0%[57.8-87.9]).


Subject(s)
COVID-19
5.
ssrn; 2021.
Preprint in English | PREPRINT-SSRN | ID: ppzbmed-10.2139.ssrn.3826200

ABSTRACT

Background: The reopening of schools during the COVID-19 pandemic has raised concerns about widespread infection and transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in educational settings. In June 2020, Public Health England (PHE) initiated prospective national surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 in primary schools across England (sKIDs). We used this opportunity to assess the feasibility and agreeability of large-scale surveillance and testing for SARS-CoV-2 infections in school among staff, parents and students.Methods: Staff and students in 131 primary schools were asked to complete a questionnaire at recruitment and provide weekly nasal swabs for SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing (n=86) or swabs with blood samples for antibody testing (n=45) at the beginning and end the summer half-term. In six blood sampling schools, students were asked to complete a pictorial questionnaire before and after their investigations.Results: In total, 134 children aged 4-7 years (n=40) or 8-11 years (n=95) completed the pictorial questionnaire fully or partially. Prior to sampling, oral fluid sampling was the most acceptable test (107/132, 81%) followed by throat swabs (80/134, 59%), nose swabs (77/132, 58%), and blood tests (48/130, 37%). Younger students were more nervous about all tests than older students but, after completing their tests, most children reported a “better than expected” experience with all the investigations. Students were more likely to agree to additional testing for nose swabs (93/113, 82%) and oral fluid (93/114, 82%), followed by throat swabs (85/113, 75%) and blood tests (72/108, 67%). Parents (n=3,994) and staff (n=2,580) selected a preference for weekly testing with nose swabs, throat swabs or oral fluid sampling, although staff were more flexible about testing frequency. Conclusions: Primary school staff and parents were supportive of regular tests for SARS-CoV-2 and selected a preference for weekly testing. Children preferred nose swabs and oral fluids over throat swabs or blood sampling.Funding Statement: This surveillance was internally funded by PHE and did not receive any specific grant funding from agencies in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.Declaration of Interests: None.Ethics Approval Statement: PHE has legal permission, provided by Regulation 3 of The Health Service (Control of Patient Information) Regulations 2002, to process patient confidential information for national surveillance of communicable diseases and as such, individual patient consent is not required.


Subject(s)
COVID-19
6.
ssrn; 2021.
Preprint in English | PREPRINT-SSRN | ID: ppzbmed-10.2139.ssrn.3766014

ABSTRACT

Background: The full reopening of schools in September 2020 was associated with an increase in COVID-19 cases and outbreaks in educational settings across England. Methods: Primary and secondary schools reporting an outbreak (≥2 laboratory-confirmed cases within 14 days) to Public Health England (PHE) between 31 August and 18 October 2020 were contacted to complete an online questionnaire. Interpretation: There were 969 primary (n=450) and secondary school outbreaks (n=519) reported to PHE, representing 3% of primary schools and 15% of secondary schools in England. Of the 369 schools contacted, 190 geographically-representative schools completed the questionnaire; 2,425 cases were reported. Secondary school students (1.20%; 95%CI, 1.13-1.28%) had higher attack rates than primary school students (0.84%; 95%CI, 0.75-0.94%). Outbreaks were larger and across more year groups in secondary schools than in primary schools. When an outbreak occurred, attack rates were higher in staff (926/19,083; 4.85%; 95%CI, 4.55-5.17%) than students, especially among primary school teaching staff (9.81%; 95%CI, 8.90-10.82%) compared to secondary school teaching staff (3.97%; 95%CI, 3.79-5.69%). Staff represented 59% (471/799) of cases in primary school outbreaks and 27% (410/1515) in secondary schools (P<0.001). Teaching staff were more likely to be the index case in primary (48/100, 48%) than in secondary (25/79, 32%) schools (P=0.027).Conclusions: Secondary schools were more likely to be affected by a COVID-19 outbreak than primary schools and to experience larger outbreaks across multiple school years. The higher attack rate among teaching staff during an outbreak suggests that additional protective measures may be needed. Funding: PHE


Subject(s)
COVID-19
7.
ssrn; 2021.
Preprint in English | PREPRINT-SSRN | ID: ppzbmed-10.2139.ssrn.3761838

ABSTRACT

Background: The full reopening of schools in September 2020 was associated with an increase in COVID-19 cases and outbreaks in educational settings across England.Methods: Primary and secondary schools reporting an outbreak (≥2 laboratory-confirmed cases within 14 days) to Public Health England (PHE) between 31 August and 18 October 2020 were contacted to complete an online questionnaire.Interpretation: There were 969 primary (n=450) and secondary school outbreaks (n=519) reported to PHE, representing 3% of primary schools and 15% of secondary schools in England. Of the 369 schools contacted, 190 geographically-representative schools completed the questionnaire; 2,425 cases were reported. Secondary school students (1.20%; 95%CI, 1.13-1.28%) had higher attack rates than primary school students (0.84%; 95%CI, 0.75-0.94%). Outbreaks were larger and across more year groups in secondary schools than in primary schools. When an outbreak occurred, attack rates were higher in staff (926/19,083; 4.85%; 95%CI, 4.55-5.17%) than students, especially among primary school teaching staff (378/3852; 9.81%; 95%CI, 8.90-10.82%) compared to secondary school teaching staff (284/7146; 3.97%; 95%CI, 3.79-5.69%). Staff represented 59% (471/799) of cases in primary school outbreaks and 27% (410/1515) in secondary schools (P<0.001). Teaching staff were more likely to be the index case in primary (48/100, 48%) than in secondary (25/79, 32%) schools (P=0.027). Conclusions: Secondary schools were more likely to be affected by a COVID-19 outbreak than primary schools and to experience larger outbreaks across multiple school years. The higher attack rate among teaching staff during an outbreak suggests that additional protective measures may be needed.Funding Statement: This surveillance was internally funded by PHE and did not receive any specific grant funding from agencies in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.Declaration of Interests: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.Ethics Approval Statement: PHE has legal permission, provided by Regulation 3 of The Health Service (Control of Patient Information) Regulations 2002, to process patient confidential information for national surveillance of communicable diseases and as such, individual patient consent is not required.


Subject(s)
COVID-19
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